16 Comments
Jan 6, 2022Liked by T Coddington

Out here in the People's Republic of California, the data is completely opposite of the UK, Denmark and German data, data that shows negative vaxx efficacy.

I think Calif Dept of Public Health is playing with the numbers to game the charts, but I won't bore you with my amateur analysis details. Link below for the curious.

https://covid19.ca.gov/state-dashboard/#postvax-status

Thanks again for the great recap.

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I don't know how to make you a gatopal but you deserve it!

FWIW, here's my attempt to cover the same thing: https://noline.substack.com/p/ukhsa-week-2022-01

By the way, in Denmark, their version of the CDC literally admits that efficacy is negative. They publish an efficacy number, per brand (Pfizer/Moderna) and per age group. Fascinating stuff - https://noline.substack.com/p/denmark-ssi-report-week-2022-01

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Jan 6, 2022Liked by T Coddington

I don't know but you definitely deserve the Gatopal distinction!

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I'll put a good word (and a cat treat) for you over at gato's hangout.

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In Ontario the numbers very much agree with this - https://covid-19.ontario.ca/data

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I find your approach of displaying the rates per age-bracket over a longer timeframe very useful for observing the trends.

Could you update this particular graphic with the publicly available data for the successive weeks in Januar-March 2022?

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Please dismiss this entire article. Author said "with a jump that size I almost wonder if there was an error in the data they are publishing." So we all agree he is mistaken, now move along. I hate it when someone dismisses their own work and negates all of the other assertions

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Jan 7, 2022·edited Jan 7, 2022

In the Ontario data, one other interesting correlation with the rapid rise of cases in the fully vaccinated is the rapid adoption of the "booster".

https://web.elastic.org/~fche/blog4/posts/big_fat_zero/?updated

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How is it mechanistically possible that the jab has negative efficacy for transmission yet somehow appears to do something with respect to hospitalization and death?

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