In the 1st week of 2022, I posited the hypothesis that data from the UK might be indicating that vaccines were accelerating the number of Omicron infections:
The problem we have is too many irrelevant "cases." The proliferation of testing produces a lot of positive results in people with no symptoms (pandemic of hypochondria) or mild symptoms. Those "cases" are irrelevant to most people. The trends indicate likely evidence of vax harm, but its buried in the noise of irrelevant tests. Hospitalizations are ambiguous since, in the US, probably elsewhere, hospitals are incentivized to admit and bill as covid those with similar symptoms. Thus the mysterious decline in flu. Even death counts are suspect since the same incentives encourage allocation to covid for deaths by other causes. It's like an uncontrolled crime scene where the evidence is unusable, and requires a confession for conviction, or a sufficiently irate jury. The clues are there, but not yet up to preponderance of evidence. Lots of reasonable doubt remains. The jury is our best hope. My pitchfork is ready.
A problem is the raw number of infections includes a lot of positive tests with no symptoms (pandemic of hypochondria) and mild symptoms -- irrelevant for normal people. Trends show likely vax harm, but the evidence is buried in the noise of all those irrelevant test "cases." Hospitalizations are ambiguous in the US since hospitals are incentivized to bill for covid "cases." Even deaths are ambiguous since those same incentives encourage diagnosis of death from other causes as covid. The corruption of the evidence is like an uncontrolled crime scene -- well need confessions to get convictions, or a sufficiently irate jury.
P.s., substack servers are slow today. I posted this, it didn't show up, I had a few minutes and was impatient so wrote it again. I kind of like them both so I'll leave them for now.
That’s the first time I’ve had a chance to look at your dashboard. What a great resource that is. Thank you.
One thing it illustrates very well is that the illusion of vaccine efficacy against death is due to survivorship bias. You can clearly see the low ‘triple-vaxxed’ death rates being bought by the high deaths in the double-dosed population right after they received their booster.
The problem we have is too many irrelevant "cases." The proliferation of testing produces a lot of positive results in people with no symptoms (pandemic of hypochondria) or mild symptoms. Those "cases" are irrelevant to most people. The trends indicate likely evidence of vax harm, but its buried in the noise of irrelevant tests. Hospitalizations are ambiguous since, in the US, probably elsewhere, hospitals are incentivized to admit and bill as covid those with similar symptoms. Thus the mysterious decline in flu. Even death counts are suspect since the same incentives encourage allocation to covid for deaths by other causes. It's like an uncontrolled crime scene where the evidence is unusable, and requires a confession for conviction, or a sufficiently irate jury. The clues are there, but not yet up to preponderance of evidence. Lots of reasonable doubt remains. The jury is our best hope. My pitchfork is ready.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/355972541_The_Lancet_Respiratory_Medicine_Role_of_exosomes_in_false-positive_covid-19_PCR_tests
A problem is the raw number of infections includes a lot of positive tests with no symptoms (pandemic of hypochondria) and mild symptoms -- irrelevant for normal people. Trends show likely vax harm, but the evidence is buried in the noise of all those irrelevant test "cases." Hospitalizations are ambiguous in the US since hospitals are incentivized to bill for covid "cases." Even deaths are ambiguous since those same incentives encourage diagnosis of death from other causes as covid. The corruption of the evidence is like an uncontrolled crime scene -- well need confessions to get convictions, or a sufficiently irate jury.
P.s., substack servers are slow today. I posted this, it didn't show up, I had a few minutes and was impatient so wrote it again. I kind of like them both so I'll leave them for now.
Thank you! 💜👍🏽
With just a cursory observation, it appears the double/triple vaxxers rates are 3-6 times higher than unvaxxed.
That’s the first time I’ve had a chance to look at your dashboard. What a great resource that is. Thank you.
One thing it illustrates very well is that the illusion of vaccine efficacy against death is due to survivorship bias. You can clearly see the low ‘triple-vaxxed’ death rates being bought by the high deaths in the double-dosed population right after they received their booster.